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Fed Rate Decision Analysis
Market expecting 25bps cut. Historical analysis shows tech typically rallies 3-5% post-cut. Consider increasing QQQ exposure pre-announcement.
Gas Pipeline Edge Thesis
Early-week entries may have edge. EIA Wednesday print creates natural catalyst.
DGNR8 Settlement System Deploy
Universal auto-settlement via Kalshi get_market() resolution. Replaces per-pipeline check_settlements() stubs.
QB Risk Parameters Review
Current allocation: 60% momentum, 25% mean-reversion, 15% volatility.
Fed Rate Decision Analysis
Market expecting 25bps cut. Historical analysis shows tech typically rallies 3-5% post-cut. Consider increasing QQQ exposure pre-announcement.
The FOMC meeting on March 19 is the next major catalyst. FedWatch currently showing 97% probability of hold at current rate, but Kalshi pricing suggests slightly different odds. The DGNR8 Fed pipeline has positions running against a hold scenario.
Key considerations:
• Watch for any shift in FedWatch probabilities in the 48 hours before the meeting
• CPI release on March 12 could move Fed expectations significantly
• Current DGNR8 Fed positions are LIVE — monitor exit conditions
• QB may want to reduce equity beta heading into the announcement
CORTEX
Intelligence Architecture · Newbold Capital & DGNR8